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This article describes
the decisions you make every time you gamble in a casino. If youre
like most gamblers, you may not realize the importance of these
decisions and their impact on your chances of winning. Make these
decisions correctly and become part of a select few smart
gamblers who know how to win!
If you own your
own business or hold a key position in the corporate world, you
would not undertake a project without proper preparation and planning.
But many businessmen- and women go on a casino junket or travel
to a nearby casino for the evening with no preparation or planning
whatsoever. I just want to have some fun, is their attitude.
The theme of this
article is that you can have more fun by exercising a little preparation.
It is fun to WIN and go home with the good feelings of taking the
casinos money home, not leaving yours behind. Thats
what these 10 decisions are all about.
Lets get
started. Ill discuss each decision in the order in which it
is made.
Decision
1: Choice of Casino
Shop around a
little bit, just like you would if you were buying a new car, and
choose a casino that will give you the best deal on comps and that
will rate your play to optimize your comps. Establish relations
with your casino host and let him or her know if you want to open
a credit line and how much action you intend to give the casino.
The idea here is to minimize your expenses letting the casino pick
up the tab for your room and food; the less you spend, the higher
the probability of coming home with a win.
Decision
2: Game and Strategy Selection
To optimize your
chances of winning, I recommend playing blackjack, craps, roulette
or baccarat because, except for roulette, the house percentage against
you is around 1%, much less than in the slot machines or in the
other table games the casinos have introduced over the past few
years to increase their overall profits.
Tip for Blackjack
Players: Learn the basic strategy for playing each hand against
any dealer up-card. Most blackjack books contain this strategy or
pick up a wallet-sized basic strategy card usually available in
the casinos gift shop. Better yet, pick up either of my books
Blackjack: A Winners Handbook or Casino Gambling
which contain basic strategy matrices and learning drills and exercises.
If you prefer
the high intensity and the excitement of craps to the more casual
atmosphere of the blackjack table, I recommend sticking to pass
line bets with double odds and making one or two come bets. As an
alternative to the come bets, you could place the 6 and 8.
Dont be
tempted to play the high house percentage proposition bets in the
middle of the craps table layout. Responding to the stick mans
exhortation of Who wants the Yo (eleven) or Hard Ways
get your bets in now! will quickly dissipate any win you might
accumulate!
Craps appears
complicated, but actually is a simple game to learn. The basics
of the bets mentioned above can found in any good book on casino
gambling.
To get an edge
at roulette you need to learn and understand the concept of a dealer
signature or repetitious pattern of spinning the wheel and releasing
the ball. Ill give you a simple-to-use idea for finding and
betting on a dealer signature in Decision 6 below.
Baccarat is a
no-brainer card game in which you bet on either the players
hand or the bankers hand which are played according to house
prescribed rules. Keep a score card and record the wins and losses,
then look for patterns choppy or streaky. Most gamblers bet
on whether or not these patterns will continue or terminate.
Decision
3: Bankroll and Betting Unit
If youre
a manager of your own company or of a corporate department, you
understand the importance of a budget. Why not relate the importance
of a corporate or departmental budget to the process of establishing
and managing a casino bankroll?
Decide on the
level of risk you wish to take and then size your bankroll accordingly.
I recommend a 200-unit bankroll, but I realize that aggressive gamblers
will use 100 and some even less. For example, if youre playing
with a $5,000 bankroll, your basic betting unit should be $5000
divided by 200 or $25.
The fewer the
units you break your bankroll into, the higher the risk of losing,
so give this decision some serious consideration before your casino
visit.
Decision
4: A Schedule of Casino Play and Other Activities
When you travel
for business purposes, do you start with a schedule of where youre
going, and what you will be doing when you get there? Of course
you do. Think about your casino visit in the same perspective. Schedule
your casino playing sessions around other activities. I recommend
NOT jumping right into action upon your arrival. Relax with a nap,
a meal, check in with your host, set up a dinner reservations, etc.
Consider a workout in the fitness room before your first gambling
session.
Decision
5: Casino Orientation
When you walk
onto the casino floor to begin your gambling session, it is important
to keep your perspective. Most gamblers are mesmerized by the flashing
lights, the cornucopia of colors and the incessant sound of the
slot machines. This is what the casinos want. Dont fall for
it. Keep a cool and a clear head.
Tip: Walk around
the casino floor for five or 10 minutes before sitting down to play.
Mentally review your objectives for this gambling session while
you observe the games and the gamblers.
Decision 6:
Table Selection
For most gamblers,
this is an ad hoc decision. They choose the first table they come
to with an open seat or space. I suggest that the table selection
decision is crucial to your chances of ending up a winner.
Tip for Blackjack
Players: Look for evidence of the players winning like stacks of
chips in front of them or multiple-chip bets. The non-random shuffle
contributes to winning cycles for both the players and the dealer.
Whatever you do, avoid the obvious losing table where players exhibit
few chips, single-chip bets, and a morose attitude. If you play
the shoe game, avoid the open table; there may a reason all the
players have departed a hot dealer! You will find more table
selection ideas in either of my two books.
Tip for Craps
Players: Use the same table selection criteria as for blackjack
because craps tables do go through winning and losing cycles. Keep
an eye open for a shooter with a controlled throw one who
sets the dice on certain numbers and throws with the same form and
motion each time. You may be betting on a shooter with dice control
skills and an edge over the house! My book, Casino Gambling, contains
six chapters on craps and dice control.
Tip for Roulette
Players: Examine a diagram of the roulette wheel, pick a lucky number
and memorize two numbers on either side of it on the wheel, not
the layout. For example, 17 with the 32 and 5. Choose roulette tables
where four or more of these three numbers show up on the electronic
display board. You may be looking at a dealer signature and a possible
edge on the next few spins.
Bet a $25 chip
on each number straight up (or a $5 chip if you just want to test
this idea). If you dont get a win within four spins walk away.
On a win, for the next three spins, bet the same three numbers plus
those 180 degrees opposite on the wheel; e.g. for the 17: 18, 6
and 31. Conservative bettors, make three split bets of $25 each:
5/6, 17/18 and 31/32 for a total risk of $75. Aggressive bettors,
bet $25 straight up on each of the six numbers. This is a hit and
run tactic, so be sure to walk away with a win if you get at least
one hit.
Decision 7:
Increasing Your Bet Size
The point to remember
in making this decision is dont let your emotions get in the
way of making an intelligent wager; i.e., dont chase any losses
or bet up too heavily on a winning streak. This latter point is
especially important if youre a craps player. I have seen
players pressing up their bets on a hot shooter
only to leave most of their winnings on the table when the shooter
sevens out.
It is very important
to bet with a carefully thought out plan in the heat of battle.
My advice is to bet up on a series of wins as follows:
Conservative Progression:
1-1-2-2-3-3-4-4-5-5-6-6
Aggressive Progression:
1-1-2-2-2-4-4-4-8-8-8.
In each case,
increase your bet to the next unit level in the series on successive
wins on even money bets: blackjack, craps pass line,
baccarat, or roulette outside bets. On a loss, revert
to a one-unit bet and start over. Study these progressions and you
will come to appreciate their value in not only accumulating profits
on a winning streak, but also protecting these profits.
How far do you
go in each of these progressions? Make this decision before you
start play, not in the heat of battle. Notice that each progression
gets you a 12-unit profit after six successive wins. Not too shabby!
These winning streaks do happen, but I suggest you pick a reasonable
level to reach, and then back off to a one-unit bet.
If you find yourself
in choppy back-and-forth game, play a mild up-as-you-lose progression;
e.g., 1-2-4, reverting to a one-unit bet on any win or after losing
three in a row.
Decision 8:
Table Departure
If youre
in the business world, how long would it take you to bail out of
a losing operation? You would have a plan, wouldnt you? You
need to apply this same kind of thinking to the table you select
for play.
Tip 1 for bailing
out of a game: Depart on a Stop-loss
This decision
concerns how many betting units you will lose before departing this
game. I recommend six, no more than 10. So, if your betting unit
is $25, leave the game if youre down $150 and find a better
one.
Keep in mind that
every unit you save, every unit you don't lose, looks much better
later, especially after a losing session because you've cut your
losses short.
Tip 2 for table
departure: Depart on a Stop-win
A stop-win is
the opposite of a stop-loss. I recommend using a trailing
stop loss to make this decision. Heres how: When you
accumulate a win; e.g., 50% of your buy-in amount, divide your chips
into three even piles. Only bet off one pile. Use chips won to keep
the piles even. When you lose, only bet the chips from one pile.
When that pile is gone, your trailing stop loss has been triggered
leave the game with the other two piles which represent your
buy-in and your win.
Decision 9:
Documentation of Results
I recommend using
a pocket notebook, the kind that fits into a shirt pocket or sports
jacket pocket. After leaving a table, cash in your chips and record
your win or loss along with any comments you want to make about
your table play. You will be pleasantly surprised at the satisfaction
this decision gives you after your session ends and you can look
back and reconstruct your actions.
Decision 10:
Session Termination
There are two
good reasons to terminate a gambling session:
1. You have reached
the limit of your optimal session time. You need a break to keep
your perspective. I have found that, in many years of instructing
gamblers, optimal session time is around 90 minutes. Give it a try.
2. Fatigue; you
are just plain tired and this is affecting your judgment and play.
A good time to terminate, take a break, and assess the situation.
Final Advice
I suggest copying
each of these 10 decisions into your pocket notebook. Make notes
as appropriate about how you intend to implement each decision.
Now youre playing with a plan of action and have the best
chance of coming home a winner!
Jerry Patterson
has been playing casino blackjack since 1956 and entered the
gaming field full-time in 1978 when the Atlantic City casinos opened.
He is the author of five gambling books. Founded in 1978 his gaming
company Jerry Patterson Enterprises, Inc (JPE) is the oldest and
most successful company in the gambling instruction and services
field.
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